Who's most at risk for foreclosure? - Buying a House - MSN Real Estate
according to this source 33% of the arms from 2004-2006 which started out with a rate of less than 4 percent will lose their homes will be foreclosed upon.
The prediction assumes that property values remain flat with December 2006 levels. Since property values have fallen in San Diego and the Sarasota Bradenton area we may expect even more people to lose their homes to foreclosure. (according to the author of the study)
Each 1% drop in house prices translates in an increase of roughtly 70,000 foreclosures.